Policy Rate
3.72%
Policy Stance
DOVISH
Next Decision
HOLD (100%)
Confidence
50%
Rate Decision Probabilities Source: Polymarket
Analyst Brief
Markets are pricing in a 100% probability of a rate hold at the next Federal Reserve meeting. The current policy stance is dovish. Analysis based on 9 relevant news articles and 9 upcoming economic events.
Based on 9 articles and 9 events
Upcoming Events
2026-03-18
FOMC Meeting + Projections
Expected: Rate: 4.25-4.50%
▲ Hawkish: Rates stay higher | ▼ Dovish: Rate cut signals
2026-03-18
Housing Starts
Expected: Healthy: 1.4M units
▲ Higher: Housing demand up | ▼ Lower: Housing slowdown
2026-04-18
Housing Starts
Expected: Healthy: 1.4M units
▲ Higher: Housing demand up | ▼ Lower: Housing slowdown
2026-05-06
FOMC Meeting
Expected: Rate: 4.25-4.50%
▲ Hawkish: Rates stay higher | ▼ Dovish: Rate cut signals
2026-06-17
FOMC Meeting + Projections
Expected: Rate: 4.25-4.50%
▲ Hawkish: Rates stay higher | ▼ Dovish: Rate cut signals
2026-07-29
FOMC Meeting
Expected: Rate: 4.25-4.50%
▲ Hawkish: Rates stay higher | ▼ Dovish: Rate cut signals
2026-09-16
FOMC Meeting + Projections
Expected: Rate: 4.25-4.50%
▲ Hawkish: Rates stay higher | ▼ Dovish: Rate cut signals
2026-11-04
FOMC Meeting
Expected: Rate: 4.25-4.50%
▲ Hawkish: Rates stay higher | ▼ Dovish: Rate cut signals
2026-12-16
FOMC Meeting + Projections
Expected: Rate: 4.25-4.50%
▲ Hawkish: Rates stay higher | ▼ Dovish: Rate cut signals
Related News
Best Interest Rates Survey: Bank Accounts, Treasury Bills, Money Markets, ETFs – March 2026
NEUTRAL
LOW
💡 Monitor for policy implications
💡
Dovish tone - supports risk-on positioning
💡
Dovish tone - supports risk-on positioning
💡
Dovish tone - supports risk-on positioning
US Stock Market | Oil shock and war fears jolt global markets ahead of key US inflation data
DOVISH
LOW
💡
Dovish tone - supports risk-on positioning
💡 Monitor for policy implications
💡 Monitor for policy implications
💡 Monitor for policy implications
💡 Monitor for policy implications