Policy Rate
3.72%
Policy Stance
DOVISH
Next Decision
HOLD (100%)
Confidence
50%
Rate Decision Probabilities Source: Polymarket
Analyst Brief
Markets are pricing in a 100% probability of a rate hold at the next Federal Reserve meeting. The current policy stance is dovish. Analysis based on 10 relevant news articles and 40 upcoming economic events.
Based on 10 articles and 40 events
Upcoming Events
2026-05-25
Chicago Fed National Activity Index
Expected: Rate: 4.25-4.50%
â–² Hawkish: Rates stay higher | â–¼ Dovish: Rate cut signals
2026-05-26
Chicago Fed National Activity Index
Expected: Rate: 4.25-4.50%
â–² Hawkish: Rates stay higher | â–¼ Dovish: Rate cut signals
2026-05-26
Dallas Fed Manufacturing Index
Expected: Rate: 4.25-4.50%
â–² Hawkish: Rates stay higher | â–¼ Dovish: Rate cut signals
2026-05-26
House Price Index
Expected: Monitor for market impact
Watch for policy implications
2026-05-26
House Price Index MoM
Expected: Est: 0.1%
Watch for policy implications
2026-05-26
House Price Index YoY
Expected: Monitor for market impact
Watch for policy implications
2026-05-27
Fed Logan Speech
Expected: Rate: 4.25-4.50%
â–² Hawkish: Rates stay higher | â–¼ Dovish: Rate cut signals
2026-05-27
NY Fed Bill Purchases 1 to 4 months
Expected: Est: 6.576
â–² Hawkish: Rates stay higher | â–¼ Dovish: Rate cut signals
2026-05-27
Richmond Fed Manufacturing Index
Expected: Est: 4
â–² Hawkish: Rates stay higher | â–¼ Dovish: Rate cut signals
2026-05-27
Richmond Fed Manufacturing Shipments Index
Expected: Rate: 4.25-4.50%
â–² Hawkish: Rates stay higher | â–¼ Dovish: Rate cut signals
Related News
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Hawkish tone - supports risk-off positioning
💡 Monitor for policy implications
💡
Signals potential rate hikes - bearish for risk assets
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Signals potential rate hikes - bearish for risk assets
💡 Monitor for policy implications
💡 Monitor for policy implications
💡
Hawkish tone - supports risk-off positioning
💡 Monitor for policy implications
💡 Monitor for policy implications
💡 Monitor for policy implications