Policy Rate
4.00%
Policy Stance
NEUTRAL
Next Decision
HOLD (100%)
Confidence
50%
Rate Decision Probabilities Source: Polymarket
Analyst Brief
Markets are pricing in a 100% probability of a rate hold at the next European Central Bank meeting. The current policy stance is neutral. Analysis based on 0 relevant news articles and 111 upcoming economic events.
Based on 0 articles and 111 events
Upcoming Events
2026-05-25
Chicago Fed National Activity Index
Expected: Rate: 4.25-4.50%
â–² Hawkish: Rates stay higher | â–¼ Dovish: Rate cut signals
2026-05-26
Chicago Fed National Activity Index
Expected: Rate: 4.25-4.50%
â–² Hawkish: Rates stay higher | â–¼ Dovish: Rate cut signals
2026-05-26
Dallas Fed Manufacturing Index
Expected: Rate: 4.25-4.50%
â–² Hawkish: Rates stay higher | â–¼ Dovish: Rate cut signals
2026-05-26
CB Consumer Confidence
Expected: Est: 92
â–² Higher: Consumer optimism | â–¼ Lower: Consumer pessimism
2026-05-26
House Price Index
Expected: Monitor for market impact
Watch for policy implications
2026-05-26
House Price Index MoM
Expected: Est: 0.1%
Watch for policy implications
2026-05-26
House Price Index YoY
Expected: Monitor for market impact
Watch for policy implications
2026-05-27
NY Fed Bill Purchases 1 to 4 months
Expected: Est: 6.576
â–² Hawkish: Rates stay higher | â–¼ Dovish: Rate cut signals
2026-05-27
Richmond Fed Manufacturing Index
Expected: Est: 4
â–² Hawkish: Rates stay higher | â–¼ Dovish: Rate cut signals
2026-05-27
Richmond Fed Manufacturing Shipments Index
Expected: Rate: 4.25-4.50%
â–² Hawkish: Rates stay higher | â–¼ Dovish: Rate cut signals
Related News
No related news found.